Tom Brady Scouting Report (Pro QB Almanac, 2017)

#12 Tom Brady 6’4” 225 18th Year, Michigan

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Author – Bryan Trulen

Overview

Viewed by many as the best to ever play the position Tom Brady responded to off the field adversity about as well as anyone could have predicted as he played some of the best football of his career in 2016. Brady stepped in after a four game suspension and ended up completing 67% of his passes while throwing for over 3,500 yards and 28 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions. And as a footnote  he also led arguably the best 4th quarterback comeback in Super Bowl history earning his 5th Super Bowl ring. Brady seems to get better every single year even as he is pushing 40 years old and has stated he wants to play well into his 40’s. The story really is too good to be true but the fact of the matter is that nobody works harder at his craft than Brady and he enters 2017 as possibly the greatest football player of all time.

 

Analysis

Because Tom Brady is so technically sound as a thrower some have a tendency to overlook his  physical ability as a passer. From a mechanical (Base, Feet, Balance, Throwing Motion) perspective Brady is as good as they come. He intuitively understands all of the micro elements that go into high level quarterback play. Touch, Timing and accuracy are Brady’s calling cards as a passer but his arm is strong enough for him to throw with velocity to all levels of the field as he has shown throughout his career. Even during 2016 his arm strength seemed to get better as the year wore on and when you add to the equation his___

To Read the entire report on Brady and every other NFL QB be sure to purchase a copy of our 2017 Pro QB Almanac 

 

 

 

2017 Pre-Season NFL Quarterback Rankings

Author – Bryan Trulen

For In-Depth Analysis on the entire NFL Quarterback Landscape be sure to purchase our 2017 Pro QB Almanac

Photo Credit – Steve Senne APtom-brady-patriots-tb12

  1. Tom Brady His Clutch SB performance was arguably the best of All-Time
  2. Aaron Rodgers His 2nd half of 2016 was MVP Esque
  3. Matt Ryan Replicating 2016 will be impossible but still a top gun
  4. Matthew Stafford Dark Horse Super Bowl Pick. Playing in Detroit makes him fly under radar still
  5.  Ben Roethlisberger Is this the year Pitt gets back to SB? May be Big Ben’s last shot..
  6.  Russell Wilson Does everything you can ask him to do and then some. Needs to stay healthy
  7.  Derek Carr Sky is limit for him as he has all the tools to be elite
  8. Joe Flaaco If he can stay healthy and be more consistent he will be in MVP race.
  9. Andrew Luck HEALTH!! Luck needs more help from his defense.
  10. Drew Brees On last Leg of career, 2017 may be his last as a Saint.
  11. Marcus Mariota Did everything right last year, will he be able to duplicate again?
  12. Kirk Cousins Expect more of the same in 2017
  13. Eli Manning Ready for bounce back year
  14. Carson Palmer Last Hoorah for Carson.
  15. Dak Prescott Pump the breaks, get ready for a soph slump
  16. Cam Newton Needs to stay healthy
  17. Sam Bradford Was amazing at times in 2016. Should be even better in year 2
  18. Brian Hoyer 2017’s Matt Ryan?
  19. Jameis Winston Rising as a player, 2017 might be the year they make the playoffs
  20. Philip Rivers LA seems to have rejuvinated him. Cut down in INT’s in 2017 will help
  21. Ryan Tannehill Stock is up as he enters year 2 in Gase’s system
  22. Andy Dalton Needs to play better in 2017 or they may give AJ McCarron a shot
  23. Alex Smith His team in 2017 at least
  24. C.J Wentz Should be more consisten in year 2
  25. Mike Glennon I am banking on him solidifying himself as Bears QB of Future.
  26. Trevor Siemian Deserves to start based on 2016. Politics may hinder that.
  27. Tyrod Taylor Electric style of play and huge arm = wins?
  28. Tom Savage Ready to Roll as starter.
  29. Brock Osweiller Look for him to open week 1 as starter
  30.  Christian Hackenberg SHOULD be week 1 starter
  31. Jared Goff Lets hope he plays half as well as Cousins did in McVay’s system
  32. Blake Bortles Will be on a very short leash in 2017

First Reaction – Round 1 Quarterbacks (2017)

Author – Bryan Trulen

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(Photo Credit – Houston Chronicle)

Thoughts on Trubisky going to Chicago Like most, I did not see the Bears selection of Mitchell Trubisky at #2 overall coming in advance, we had him pegged as our first QB off the board but I truly believe that Bears GM Ryan Pace sees Trubisky as a true developmental quarterback with a high ceiling. Mike Glennon was signed for a reason and he will remain the starter in 2017 but this pick shows us that Chicago feels really strongly about Trubisky, much like how Philly felt about Carson Wentz last year. I do not foresee Trubisky leap frogging Mike Glennon in 2017. The domino effect on the Bears QB room will be felt somewhere as the Bears will be bringing Trubisky, Glennon, Mark Sanchez and 4th year pro Connor Shaw to training camp in July.  Sanchez or Shaw will end up being cut at the end of training camp.

Patrick Mahomes goes to an ideal situation in KC Andy Reid gets a quarterback he is extremely high on. Reid is a known quarterback guru and puts them in positions to succeed in terms of scheme design, play calling and with how handles them from a communication perspective. Mahomes may be the biggest winner from Round 1. It is going to become very apparent once Mahomes gets to campus how big of a difference exists between him and Alex Smith in terms of arm talent. Mahomes should sit during 2017 but he is in a prime position to take over for Smith sooner rather than later.

Houston selects Deshaun Watson Texans HC Bill O’Brien and Rick Smith were on the same page with the selection of Watson at pick 12. Like Mahomes, Watson will be viewed as a #2 during his rookie year and will be on the developmental track. From a player perspective Watson gives the Texans and O’Brien something they have never had, an athletic quarterback who excels in a timing based passing system and as both O’Brien and Rick Smith stated during their press conference is a “Winner” . Watson displays elite level poise and is a big time performer in clutch situations. Watson has the internal structure in Houston to give him a chance to be highly successful.

2017 Free Agent Quarterback Supply (Part.1)

2017 Free Agent Quarterback Supply- “The Highly Qualified”


Author – Bryan Trulen

 

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The Free Agent Quarterback market is extremely robust. A number of qualified to highly qualified (by NFL standards) quarterbacks will be in supply for a finite number of potential job openings around the league. Let’s take a look at the high end market landscape as we enter free agency

Highly Qualified – Just because a quarterback finds himself in this category does not mean he will automatically be given an opportunity to come in and start somewhere. More often than not this type of category is filled with quarterbacks with moderate to extensive starting experience but over time the warts of their respective game have been identified and exposed.

 

  1. Tony Romo – Romo will turn 37 in April and is coming off an injury riddled 2015 and 2016. He has limited game experience during this time although looked like a bona fide MVP Quarterback just three years ago during the 2014 season. If his motivation is still alive and burning and If he can manage to stay healthy for a full season, Romo clearly becomes in theory the no-brainer top free agent option in 2017 much like Peyton Manning in 2012. Jacksonville, Denver and Houston are places where he could go to and immediately make a big difference. And a dark horse would be the Los Angeles Rams- where a partnership with Sean McVay could have the potential to pay off big if things go as well as they did in 2014 for Romo. 

 

  1. Mike Glennon – Glennon took the starting job away from Josh Freeman as a rookie in 2013 as he threw for 19 TD’s and 7 INT and basically beat the Seahawks in Seattle all by himself. Glennon was a victim of bad luck in 2014 as new HC Lovie Smith dismissed Glennon as a legitimate option from day 1 without doing homework on him and brought in Josh McCown to Tampa to be the guy. Glennon obviously took a step back during 2014 but still showed flashes of Matt Ryan esque qualities as a passer when he did play. The argument can be made that Glennon is an equal or even better quarterback than Jameis Winston in many areas but did not hold the cache as the #1 overall draft pick. Do not be surprised if Glennon ends up being the face of a franchise such as Chicago, New York or San Francisco for years to come.

 

  1. Brian Hoyer – Hoyer, who is entering his 9th year in the league has clearly made his         stake as the 2nd best quarterback behind Matt Stafford to come out of the 2009 draft class. Hoyer is about as refined of a natural passer as there is in the league in terms of how he blends elements such as touch, throwing in rhythm, anticipation and is a very decisive thrower to all areas of the field. Simply put, Hoyer plays the position like a point gaurd who sees the entire court clearly and knows his physical limitations. At his core, Hoyer is a distributor who is essentially a less pliable version of Matt Ryan. Hoyer may not have a ton of time left but do not be surprised if a team such as the 49ers, Jets or even Chicago (his current team) bring him in or back as their un-questioned starter in 2017.

Golden Tate’s Tool Kit.

Author- Bryan Trulen

Many People are blaming the Vikings defense for the “collapse” on sunday against Detroit. While placing blame on the defense is convenient for fans, it is far from the truth. The Vikings defense did not play bad they  just happened to be playing against one of the most highly skilled and nuanced offenses in football as relates to play-calling, perimeter conceptual design, route running, intelligence, toughness and formation multiplicity. For times sake we are going to look at a defining play from the All-22 vantage point – Matthew Stafford to Golden Tate for the win in OT.  (All visual content courtesy NFL Game Pass)

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On 3rd and 8, Minnesota comes out in a single high safety look with 7 interior defenders threatening rush. Detroit deploys (11) personnel with their X WR, Golden Tate in a fairly tight alignment while CB Xavier Rhodes is assigned to him at the top of screen

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As we can see, the Vikings have allocated 7 defenders threatening to blitz pre snap. Harrison Smith however has  curl to flat responsibility so Stafford knows he is stunting.

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As the Ball is snapped, Harrison Smith is now retreating back into coverage at SS and CB Xavier Rhodes (Top of Screen) is not playing man to man but is actually retreating into Cover 3 responsibility.

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Detroit is able to protect Stafford well as evidenced by their textbook looking offensive line deployment. By now, Xavier Rhodes (Top of Screen) has turned his hips and is sprinting down the field giving Golden Tate his inside. Harrison Smith, due to faking blitz pre snap has been forced to turn and run to cover the flat with his back to the ball because he was out of position pre snap.

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Golden Tate tilts his route angle to threaten the possibility of running across the field with subtle nuances such as shoulder dip, angled release and eye/head deception. As we can see Harrison Smith and even Rhodes are influenced slightly by Tate’s route stem development.

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More of the same here as Tate continues to deceive the Viking Secondary of Smith and Rhodes as we see again their positioning becoming compromised within the Cover 3 design. Smith has now fully turned his back and is playing catch up and guess against Tate.

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Harrison Smith again is out of position as Stafford begins his release of the ball. Rhodes has been pushed vertically by Tate and Smith is clearly fooled as well with his wide leg cuts.

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Rhodes is STILL retreating into deep third protection as Tate begins his out break. Notice how Tate does not press to the sideline during the build up to his break rather though Tate leaves ample room to the sideline for Stafford to lead him to, which will come in handy later.

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Smith again is out of position as he has been fooled further by Tate. Remember Harry was playing catch up from the get go due to attempting to show blitz only to retreat back into coverage with his back to the ball.

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As Tate Catches the ball, Smith is still running full speed go as he has been in a dead, out of control sprint since the snap.

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Tate stops on a dime While Rhodes attempts to put a shoulder to where he thought Tate would end up after the reception.

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More of the same from the sideline angle.

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Harrison Smith in full sprint mode attempting to  throw his out of control body into the ever aware and controlled Golden Tate.

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Tate delivers a punishing and humiliating stiff-arm to Smith on his way for six points.

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Smith and Rhodes both end up on the ground.

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No words for this

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En route to the end zone

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All-22 Review – Deep Ball Perfection utilizing Run Heavy Personnel.

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Situation- Beginning 2nd half play against New York, Minnesota lines up in 21 personnel on 1st and 10 from the 25 yard line. This base offensive look limits what the Giants can do defensively as they clearly deploy a single high safety look with press man coverage on the outside with 8 defenders in the “Box”.  (All Content courtesy of NFL Game Pass)screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-08-08-pm

As Sam Bradford receives the snap from under center, the Giant defense does not know if it is going to be a pass or a run. Notice how their Linebackers are fixated on the backfield in this run heavy Viking offensive formation. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-08-21-pm

Upon receiving the snap, Bradford immediately places his eyes hard to the right with the intention of manipulating and freezing the FS in the middle of the field. At the Bottom of the screen, the WR uses a “Tight” which is needed for this play to work. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-08-58-pm

As Bradford is nearing the top of his five step drop his eyes are still locked on the right side of the field as he attempts to fool the Giants Single High free safety. At the bottom of the screen the WR is beginning to gain separation from the man coverage while still leaving Bradford extended space to drop the ball into. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-09-10-pm

As Bradford sets up to deliver the throw we can clearly see the FS has been frozen and there is considerable green grass to throw the football to at the bottom of the screen. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-09-29-pm

The ball is released on time by Bradford within a clean pocket. Notice how the WR continues to run straight even though he has room to the outside – this allows Bradford to throw him open with touch. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-09-50-pm

Bradford drops the ball into the bucket as the Vikings take advantage of great formational design coupled with veteran eye level discipline and ball placement by Bradford to complete the fade pass. screen-shot-2016-10-05-at-9-10-18-pm

2016 Philadelphia Eagles QB Preview

Author – Bryan Trulen
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#10 Chase Daniel 5’11” 225 8th Year, Missouri
Chase signed a lucrative free agent deal with Philly after spending the past 3 Years in Kansas City learning the Andy Reid/Doug Pederson system. He has been a QB who has showed up extremely well during exhibition play and in his two regular season starts in place of Alex Smith. Chase is a fundamentally sound naturally accurate quarterback who has shown the ability to get the ball to his playmakers. Chase also is a playmaker himself as he is legitimate threat running the football.
Weak areas of chases game are his lack of NFL arm strength and inability to see from within the pocket. Chase is 5’11” and simply struggles when forced to hang in the pocket and survey down the field. If Bradford struggles at any point during 2015, expect Chase however’ to receive a legitimate opportunity to make the Starting QB job his in Philly. He has waited a while for this type of opportunity and may run with it for as long as possible.
#11 Carson Wentz 6’5″ 237 Rookie, North Dakota State
 Carson enjoyed a meteoric rise to celebrity from January – May 2016. There is considerable substance behind all of the hype being generated around him however. He reminds us at QB Film Room of a smoother version of Colts QB Andrew Luck when he was coming out of Stanford. Carson played within a pro style system at North Dakota State and put on display traits such as having a rhythmic feel to his throws, ability to anticipate throws and the  ability to throw effortlessly while on the move. Carson already possesses high end NFL arm talent as a rookie.  Intangibles wise Carson has it all as he is a certified gym rat, highly intelligent and savvy with the media. Carson is an innate leader who inspires his teammates and we would not be surprised to see him instantly become the vocal and inspirational leader of the Eagle locker room when his time to play comes. Carson has a Pro-Bowl ceiling but he will not be forced into action until he is ready to do so and may not take a regular season snap if Philly’s QB Plan stays in tact during 2016.

2016 Dallas Cowboys QB Preview

Dallas Cowboys (Written in Mid July 2016)
Author – Bryan Trulen
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#9 Tony Romo 6’2″ 230 14th Year, Eastern Illinois
Tony Romo had one of the best years of his career in 2014 as he played at an MVP level in leading Dallas deep into the playoffs and essentially making a big time pressure throw to beat Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game before having the reception over turned. Romo however had an injury plagued 2015 as staying on the field was a year long struggle. When he did play he was inconsistent and at times played poorly. All indications are that he has had a great off-season and is ready to play at a high level again in 2016.
On Film, Romo continues to display a whip like release of the football, something that has been a staple of his game since entering the league in 2001. Romo boasts possibly the quickest release in all of the league. Tony is naturally accurate- making a variety of types of throws and throws with elite touch. Romo exemplifies a QB who can beat you time after time as he combines his quick release with tremendous touch allowing him to fit balls into tight windows over and around defenders enabling his WR’s to make routine catches in traffic. As a intuitive passer, Romo is very adept at changing ball speeds
Romo naturally likes to play within the defined structure of the play but if forced to improvise out of structure can do so as he uses his elite pocket feel to spin out, step up and throw on the run at a Pro- Bowl Level.  As Romo has aged, his athleticism and arm strength have diminished but his pocket instincts, football IQ and ability to throw with touch and timing have us thinking he can still play at a high level for 2-3 more years.
#4 Dak Prescott 6’2″ 226 Rookie, Mississippi State
Prescott  was drafted with the idea of having the Cowboys groom and develop him to eventually become the QB of the future in Dallas. He will be afforded an opportunity (in theory) to learn some of the nuances of the game sitting behind Tony Romo in a reserve role. Prescott’s skill set and rate of development will determine when and how fast he gets on the field.
From a Raw Material perspective, Dak has it all, Arm Strength, Athleticism, Size, and ability to throw on the run. Traits such as ball placement and touch will be emphasized as areas of improvement for him as he gets acclimated to the pro game. Dak should be able to develop into the Cowboys QB of the future as long as he stays on the right track.
#17 Kellen Moore 5’11 1/2 200 5th Year, Boise State
Moore had an opportunity to gain game experience when Tony Romo went down in 2015 and he showed the ability to be an average backup option moving forward. Moore is undersized and struggles to make plays from the pocket. He does however show an ability to make quick decisions and get the ball out of his hands with zero wasted motion or hesitation. Moore is at his best when operating within a pure west coast system where he is making quick decisions. Moore can throw with precision in the short game but his lack of arm strength will make him a career backup at best. His instincts are starter worthy and if given an extended opportunity we feel he could turn some heads but we feel that may not be in the cards for Moore moving forward.

2016 New Orleans Saints QB Preview

Author – Bryan Trulen

New Orleans Saints Preview

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#9 Drew Brees 6’0” 211 16th Year Purdue

The ten time pro bowler turned in another excellent season in 2015 showing the ability to consistently find the open man at the right time which has personified his game for years. Drew is arguably the most accurate passer of all time and we don’t see that changing anytime soon. Brees is adept at diagnosing both pre and post snap and letting his natural throwing ability take over. His football IQ is off the charts and an under­valued component to his game is his excellent feet. Brees is a pure fundamentalist when it comes to getting his feet ready to throw on time and in rhythm which continually provides him with an edge in terms of being able to throw with anticipation to all areas of the field. Because of his lack of ideal height for the position, he must out of necessity make up for it in other areas of his game with eye manipulation and trust being the pillars of his strategy. As Brees has aged, his arm has still remained intact but while watching the 2015 tape we did come to notice a handful of deep ball throws that lost some steam at the end, something Brees will have to continually deal with as he gets into the latter part of his career. Clearly though, Brees and Head Coach Sean Payton see eye to eye and their relationship together has been a match made in heaven. If Brees can stay healthy in 2016 with an improved defense the Saints could make a playoff push.

 

#7 Luke McCown 6’4” 217 13th Year Louisiana Tech

The younger brother of Josh McCown has showed he clearly belongs in the NFL as a backup and when given the opportunity to start against Carolina in 2015 he performed very well. Opportunities to start have not always presented themselves to his likening however. A defining trait of McCown’s game is his innate ability to throw a consistently catchable, accurate pass which puts his targets in an ideal position to gain yards after the catch. Luke understands intuitively the varying velocity required to make different types of throws and ensures his feet match up with the depth of the specific route he is throwing. Luke also showed on film in 2015 the ability to throw his receivers open by placing the ball away from deep defenders while throwing down the field. Luke has displayed sneaky athleticism to go along with good improvisational skills when forced to abort the pocket as well. Intelligence is at the forefront of his game and is used to make up for his average arm, unwillingness to hang in the pocket and lack of game experience.

Being a veteran, McCown has used his experience in the league to his benefit and we consider him in the first tier of backup QB’s in the NFL. If forced into spot starter action or even extended action for a month or so the Saints offensive attack would still be in good hands with Luke at the controls.

 

#18 Garrett Grayson 6’2” 220 2nd Year Colorado State

Grayson was a 3rd round selection two years ago and spent his rookie year adjusting to the speed of the game while being introduced to Sean Payton’s graduate level offense. As a developmental prospect he will be given a large opportunity during the pre season to show what he can do in year 2. For comparisons sake, former Saint developmental QB Chase Daniel we felt was a few notches above Grayson in terms of throwing ability and having better instincts for the position. Through tape study, it is apparent that Grayson does not possesses the required level of awareness for defenders which at times hampers his decision making process which results in a QB who becomes robotic the longer he stays in the pocket leading to an overall breakdown in his mechanics which obviously affects his accuracy and timing.

Grayson is able to push the ball down the field with velocity into tight windows when given a clean pocket and can be a streaky passer. He looks frenetic once he reaches the top of his drop at times; meaning there is a lack of smoothness which may be associated with a lack of confidence in what he is seeing or processing, in other words, growing pains during year 1 of his adjustment to Sean Payton’s system.  There may also be questions about his overall field vision operating in the Payton system.  He possesses a bit of a quirky throwing motion which breaks down the longer he is in the pocket. His anticipation skills need work as he is still raw from that standpoint. Grayson is  still a guy who has some upside from a developmental backup standpoint but he would have to have a stellar pre­season to put any thought into him competing for the backup job in 2016.

Pro QB Almanac Sample, Atlanta’s QB Room.

QB Film Room Pre-Season Publication Preview.

 

Beginning this August, we will be releasing our Digital In-Depth NFL QB Comprehensive Publication. A large piece of this will entail an In-Depth Study and Evaluation of every QB in the NFL by roster. Here is a sneak peak preview…

 

Atlanta Falcons Preview. 

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Atlanta Falcons – 2015 embarked a new era for the Falcons. Out was longtime coach Mike Smith and in came Dan Quinn, who plucked Kyle Shanahan away from Cleveland and in as the franchise’s newly minted offensive coordinator.  QB Matt Ryan coexisted well with Shanahan early on flourishing in his play action heavy timing based system. As the year went along though production fizzled and Ryan started to get into an unforeseen, long winded funk. Multiple factors went into this which included; injuries along the offensive line, NFC South defensive coordinators adjusting to the early season Falcon tape and Ryan being under constant duress.  

The end result was a depressing late season slide that saw Atlanta lose six of their last eight games.

Transitioning away from 2015 Atlanta has put itself in a position to regain a competitive stake in their division by taking a pro-active approach in adding positional talent to their offense.  This in theory should bolster the Falcon offense and could be a defining piece to the playoff formula the team  has been seeking to re-capture with their last appearance coming in 2012.

QB Film Room is all about quarterbacks so without further ado, let’s take a dive into a positional breakdown entering training camp.

#2 Matt Ryan 6’4” 221 9th Year, Boston College.  

Nobody and I mean nobody throws a prettier pass than Matt Ryan. From the quickness of set-up to the natural ball carriage during his drop to the way his feet work in unison with his eyes, Ryan is purely text book in all things fundamental to playing the position at the NFL level. Not to mention he is tough as nails. Ryan consistently displays a rhythmic feel to his game and is one of the better anticipatory throwers in the league. Ryan also falls a close second behind Tom Brady in terms of his Pre-Snap Decision Making prowess.

For all the good with Ryan comes some bad. Matt has a tendency to lock on to his primary read and at times becomes frazzled when he has to take an extra beat in the pocket and work to his secondary options. Ryan sees the field very well and throws with excellent touch to all levels of the field but all too often in 2015 he made costly errors in the Red-Area that signify a frenetic at times feel to his game which came in spades albeit in the worst possible moments.

Ryan should continue to grow in the Kyle Shanahan led attack in 2016 and has become the vocal and inspirational leader for the entire Falcon team entering his 9th year as a pro. If Ryan can gel with new WR Mohamed Sanu and continue to refine his game in year two of the system, the Atlanta Falcons could make a Super Bowl Run.