Kyler Murray Draft Guide Report

Author – Bryan Trulen (Sample report from our 2019 Draft Guide)

NFL: Arizona Cardinals-Rookie Minicamp(Photo courtesy Cardswire)

Kyler Murray ​5’10” 207 Oklahoma *JR 

Overview

Up until just a few months ago, the Dallas, TX native was destined for a career in Major League Baseball. Murray’s talent as a quarterback however proved to be too much to pass up and he ultimately declared for the 2019 NFL Draft after much careful consideration. Murray is a rare prospect who has shown the ability to be an electric playmaker at the position but one who also has the ability to pick defenses apart surgically as a pure passer. As a redshirt junior in 2018 he threw for over 4,300 yards & 42 touchdowns against only 7 interceptions while accumulating over 1,000 yards on the ground with 12 rushing touchdowns. A better overall prospect coming out than his former teammate Baker Mayfield.

 

Trait Grades (Murray)

Arm Talent (A) Toughness (B-)

Arm Strength (A-) Pocket Presence (B) Ball Placement/Accuracy (A-)

Intangibles/Off Field (B)Anticipation (A-) Football IQ (A-)

Touch (A)

Delivery/Mechanics (A-) Running Ability/Athleticism (A)

Throw on Run (A-)

Strengths

Pure Passing Instincts, Feel For Windows’, Timing & Touch. Ability To Change Ball Speeds at Intuitive Level, Ability To Power Ball Deep With Snap Delivery, Quick Release, Electric Playmaker, Speed/Quickness, Ultra Quick Processing’ Speed, Placing Passes Away From Defenders, Football IQ, Using Eyes To Hold Deep Defenders

Weaknesses

Lack of Ability To See At Times Due To Height, Moves Through Reads Too Fast At Times, Style Of Play Invites Punishment, Will Need Work Operating From Under Center, Will Miss Things That Are Open Initially & Become Stuck

Tape Analysis (Murray)

Possesses an extremely live arm with the ability to fit the ball into tight windows’ without much physical exertion. Quick twitched natural athlete who plays the position with an innate feel that cannot be taught. An easy thrower of the football who generates above average torque during his delivery with snappy wrist action on his follow through. Murray would have outstanding quickness/agility for any position let alone the quarterback position as his off script athleticism has the ability to change the course of a game in an instant’ with one electric run. Has a solid feel for trajectory in terms of leveling the ball over underneath defenders. Will need to improve his ability to anticipate certain types of throws (intermediate) a beat earlier than he did at OU as he always has the proverbial ace in his back pocket (ability to create’ with legs) which at times he uses to his detriment. At times shows advanced manipulation skills by way of holding safeties with his eyes upon receival of the snap and during his drop, is quite natural in this sense.

Murray shows a natural sense of how to complete’ a variety of passes so his receivers remain in optimal position post catch (versus both man & zone)

speaking to a very high football intelligence quotient. He will not hang his targets out to dry nor will he throw behind targets running across the field but will hit them in stride at the face mask level most of the time. Murray may be the best deep ball thrower in this class of quarterbacks. His ability to quickly process coverage both pre and post snap while putting the right combination of touch, power & placement on his deep throws is a thing of beauty & seen often when you turn on his tape. His ability to manipulate the trajectory of his deep passes to match how the secondary is positioned speaks to a level of understanding often seen by first tier starting quarterbacks in the NFL. Quick twitched instinctual mover who shows the ability to reposition himself quickly in order’ to make throws on the move when initial pressure forces him out of the pocket. Extremely fluid from a footwork to release standpoint in terms of getting the ball out fast when his reads dictate to do so. Baseball background helps in this regard.

Projection

Expect Kyler Murray to be gone early during round 1 of the 2019 NFL Draft. If the Cardinals do pass on him (which they may) look for the Oakland Raiders to select him at the number four spot. Murray will bring with him a game altering skill set both as a passer and as a threat to run which will immediately make him one of the league’s most dangerous quarterbacks once he becomes a starter – which will be at some point during his rookie year. Whatever team Murray ends up on you will want to monitor his progression during training camp & the preseason as it will determine how fast he becomes his team’s starter during year 1. Murray has the potential to become a top 6-8 perennial Pro Bowl quarterback in the league.

2019 NFL Quarterback Rankings (1-32)

  1. Tom Brady (Slight dip in physical skills in 2018 but he still came up huge in biggest moments)Screen Shot 2017-12-16 at 5.35.57 PM
  2. Pat Mahomes (Nothing more to say- watc to see if he can keep up the pace in 2019)
  3. AndrewLuck (Had a stellar 2018 under Frank Reich)
  4. Russell Wilson (Will he get more help?)
  5. Philip Rivers (Last chance for SB was in 2018, still is an elite player)
  6. Matt Ryan (One tough SOB, re-uniting with Dirk Koetter should help)
  7. Aaron Rodgers (He still is an elite thrower, but he still needs to prove he can be highly functional in new system during year of change)
  8. Drew Brees (Arm is dying to almost gone but his smarts/anticipation/touch still there- NFC title game saw him get exposed in a few critical moments)
  9. Ben Roethlisberger (Still can do what he has done but his decision making may be getting more odd under pressure)
  10. Matthew Stafford (Looking for a re-bound year after battling through injuries in 2018, new OC Darrell Bevell should help him quite a bit honestly this year)
  11. Carson Wentz (If Wentz was not so injury riddled he would be ranked higher but he needs to prove he can stay healthy and be consistent)
  12. Jared Goff (2018 was not a fluke but the SB was brought him back to earth, still things to work on ie Decision Making under pressure)
  13. Deshaun Watson ( Tantalizing player who one play turns your head and the next misses a read or lacks fundamentals)
  14. Baker Mayfield (Great rookie campaign but needs to show up again in 2019)
  15. Cam Newton (Still has elite talent but this will be an interesting guy to follow in 2019 coming of shoulder injury)
  16. Dak Prescott (Stellar 2nd half of 2019 where he put the team on his back. Perhaps best in-game leader at the position in league)
  17. Mitch Trubisky (This is not a mistake. He has areas to improve upon but he showed elite skills you cannot teach in 2018)
  18. Nick Foles (He was his 2017 self until the playoffs last year. Foles panicked under the Superdome pressure during three 4th quarter Eagle drives that resulted in a missed opportunity)
  19. Kirk Cousins (Pressure is on let’s see if he buckles under it yet again or if he manages it well)
  20. Ryan Fitzpatrick (When he is on, he is a top 5 thrower in the league, problem is when he is off he plays like a backu)
  21. Andy Dalton (Could be higher on list and might take off in a new WCO system)
  22. Josh Allen (Off the charts skill set, developing quite nicely in upstate NY)
  23. Jameis Winston (Arians should allow him to take off, may deserve to be higher on this list honestly)
  24. Marcus Mariota (Showed flashes of elite passing ability in 2018)
  25. Sam Darnold (Young kid with HUGE potential)
  26. Lamar Jackson (Electric Dude)
  27. Jimmy Garoppolo (Nothing to say.. we all know)
  28. Derek Carr (Make or break year)
  29. Colt McCoy/Case Keenum (Who knows maybe they shine Gruden’s system but doubt it.
  30. Kyler Murray (Could take league by storm, only this low because we have not seen him play yet
  31. Joe Flacco (Looks slow & lethargic at training camp, Lock will be playing by Week 8)
  32. Eli Manning (Should not be playing anymore)

Pre-Draft Report (Patrick Mahomes II)

Author – Bryan Trulen

Patrick Mahomes II 6’2” 225 Texas Tech

mahomes.jpg

(Photo Credit – Star Tribune)

Overview

During his college career, Patrick Mahomes passed for over 11,000 yards, 93 touchdowns and 29 interceptions while making 29 career starts. Mahomes completed nearly 64% of his passes during his time in Lubbock. He also rushed for 845 yards and 22 touchdowns. Mahomes plays the position with a rare blend of athletic instinct, pure passing ability and arm strength. Mahomes was a three sport star at the high school level as he was a top prospect for the MLB draft and averaged 20 points per game on the basketball court. Ultimately it was football that Mahomes chose to pursue and he has put himself on the track to become a franchise quarterback at the next level and we believe he will end up being the best quarterback from this class when we look back ten years from now.

Tape Analysis  (2016) Oklahoma, Arizona State, Baylor, TCU, Louisiana Tech

Agility and instincts within the pocket are off the charts as Mahomes has a second nature feel for moving from within and manipulating the pocket in order to create space for himself. Mahomes is one of the most natural movement throwers in the class as he is very comfortable in this regard something which stems from his baseball background. He is very “light” on his feet and shows the ability to re-set and get his lower half in position to deliver the ball at the snap of a finger. Even though his throwing mechanics need refinement Mahomes shows an innate

understanding of timing and routinely throws with anticipation on multiple types of throws. Mahomes will throw his wide receivers open and does so by anticipating windows in the middle of the field or by way of ball placement on deep routes outside the numbers.

What separates his arm from Chad Kelly’s is Mahomes ability to make wow type off platform throws at levels not seen since Brett Favre. Mahomes has rare arm talent. Has an intuitive feel on how to throw around as well as level the ball over defenders. Throwing with touch is a tool Mahomes relies on a regular basis and is adept at “leading” his receivers versus man coverage. Very Alert in the pocket and will take off and run as a last resort. Quick release that Mahomes uses to his advantage in the short passing game. Mahomes does have a sandlot, freelance feel to his game at times but beneath it all is an understanding of how to play within structure and operate as the triggerman of a pass centric offense. There will be those who dismiss Mahomes as a sand lot player who lacks fundamentals but we feel he is a high end talent with potential to be a franchise quarterback for years to come.

 

Projection

Mahomes will be the first quarterback taken in the 2017 draft as he has seen his stock soar throughout the pre-draft process. Mahomes will most likely sit during year 1 but has the tools to become a franchise level quarterback who can lead his teams to championships if everything falls into place for him.

 

Trait Grades (Mahomes)

Arm Talent (A)
Arm Strength (A)
Ball Placement/Accuracy (B+) Delivery/Mechanics (B)

Toughness (B+)
Pocket Presence (B+) Intangibles/Off-Field (A-) Running Ability/Athleticism (B)

Anticipation (A-) Football IQ (B+) Touch (A-)
Throw on Run (A-)

 

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Pre-Draft Report (Lamar Jackson)

Author-Bryan Trulen

Lamar Jackson​ 6’2” 216 Louisville

Overview       lamar.jpg

As a three year starter for the Cardinals, Lamar Jackson threw for 9,043 yards 69 touchdowns & 27 interceptions. Jackson also rushed for an astounding 50 touchdowns while amassing over 4,000 yards on the ground. Jackson was tasked with being the triggerman for a pro-style spread attack that featured both his arm & legs. Jackson exited his college career as one of the most dynamic quarterbacks to ever play at the NCAA level.

Trait Grades (Jackson)

Arm Talent (A-) Arm Strength (A) Ball Placement/Accuracy (B) Delivery/Mechanics (A-)

Toughness (A) Pocket Presence (A-) Intangibles/Off-Field (B+) Running Ability/Athleticism

(A) Anticipation (B+) Football IQ (A-) Touch (B-) Throw on Run (A)

 

Strengths 

Arm Strength, Electric Playmaker, Throwing On The Move With Ease, Familiarity With Pro Style Passing Concepts, Compact Delivery, Natural Passing Instincts, Sheer Speed As A Runner, Toughness, Pocket Instincts, Anticipation

Weaknesses

Inconsistent Touch & Ball Placement On Deep Ball, Throws From a Narrow Base, Often Throws With All Arm, Overall Accuracy Concerns

Tape Analysis (Jackson)

Lamar Jackson played in a pro style offense under Bobby Petrino that allowed for continued growth & development in relation to NFL passing concepts. ​Mechanically, Jackson boasts a compact, snap delivery of the football allowing him to get passes off regardless of pressure or lack of space around him. ​As a passer, Jackson is a short strider which also helps him get the ball off quickly even when his foot platform to throw is sub-optimal. Jackson’s feet are quick & fluid from a drop back game standpoint which in turn allows him to deliver passes before defenders are able to react. Jackson maintains a high ball carriage position & is very quick/sudden mechanically from a release standpoint. Strong arm & quick decision make & displays outstanding arm strength both from within the pocket & on the move. ​When Jackson aborts the pocket he does so in a highly refined manner.​ Often times he would survey down field deep into the play & would only evade the pocket when his instincts called for it, simply put Jackson has elite pocket feel & awareness. There are many

instances on tape where it is apparent Jackson is a passer first & has true passing instincts. Jackson intuitively understands when, where & how to deliver the ball. Shows the ability to make wow type arm strength on the move. Multiple instances of Jackson firing the ball 35-40 yards on a line as he is running out of real estate near the sideline. Jackson is power thrower who is able to generate tremendous velocity on the move without a long windup.

Jackson does have inconsistent lower body mechanics at times & can be a bit stiff as a thrower. Needs to be coached to use more of his body & not just his arm & this is illustrated on throws such as sideline fades where Jackson will be become too erect & lacks the requisite feel & touch to deliver strikes. These are minor issues or at least should be in terms of correcting them as he transitions. The more tape we watch on Lamar the more it becomes apparent that he is the prospect with the highest ceiling in the entire class & deserves to be in discussion with Sam Darnold in terms of QB 1 and 1A.

Projection

Jackson is one of the top three quarterbacks in this class & has clearly demonstrated refined abilities in terms of coverage recognition, pure passing instincts as well as operating a pro style attack & is a rare runner at the position. Do not be shocked if Jackson ends up starting as a rookie and takes the league by storm. Jackson has pro bowl potential if he is developed properly at the next level.

 

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2019 Quarterback Mock Draft

Our 2019 QB Mock Draft

  • Bryan Trulen (QBFR Founder)

For analysis on the 2019 QB Draft Class, purchase our 2019 Draft Guide

Round 1

Drew Lock (3) Redskins (Trade with NYJ) – Jay Gruden influenced decision here. 

Kyler Murray (4) Raiders – Mayock & Gruden will be like two kids at Disney Land after this happens. 

Daniel Jones (6) Giants – Easy personality for Shurmur/Eli to mold. 

Dwayne Haskins (13) Dolphins – Flores gets his fellow New Jerseyian and builds for the future with Haskins. Fitzpatrick still starts in 2019.

Will Grier (32) Patriots  – BB gets his QB of the future. Kraft not on board with pick but BB has final say.

 

Round 3

Tyree Jackson (70) Bucs – Bruce Arians gets his Logan Thomas 2.0

Ryan Finley (72) Bengals – Zac Taylor gets a WCO oriented young passer in the mold of a poor man’s Jared Goff. 

Easton Stick (77) Panthers – Norv Turner gets a rich man’s version of current backup Taylor Heinecke to battle it out while Cam Newton remains sidelined

 

Round 4

Jacob Dolegala (109) Jaguars – JDF & Doug Marrone get a fellow Northeastern’er to develop in their system. 

Nick Fitzgerald (120) Vikings – Gary Kubiak loves him & he will compete for a roster spot. 

 

Round 5

Gardner Minshew II (148) Broncos – Elway rolls with Minshew II as a developmental guy behind Flacco. 

Jarrett Stidham (165) Cowboys -Immediately competes for backup job from day 1. Problem is he is not better than either Mike White or Cooper Rush. 

Clayton Thorson (166) Chargers – Not much to say here. Great opportunity for Thorson.

 

Round 6

Brett Rypien (176) Cardinals – Cardinals get a QB in the mold of a young Kliff Kingsbury to provide depth behind Josh Rosen

Taylor Cornelius (194) Packers – Cornelius ends up in a great spot

 

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